When the day came to throw
the switch turning her suburban New Jersey home into a mini power plant, Gail
Stocks could hardly believe her eyes. Outside, parked up and down the quiet,
leafy street were at least a dozen utility company trucks - and a gang of burly
electricians were ambling toward her front door.
"There had to be 16 of them," she says. "I don't think they had ever seen a
solar panel before. They just wanted to see the [electric] meter start spinning
the other way after they flipped the switch."
To watch the meter running backward - in essence, selling electricity back to
the utility - was a novelty in suburban New Jersey in fall 2001. Now, the
concept is moving closer to being mainstream.
In one of life's little ironies, solar power is gaining a toehold in the most
unlikely of places - the world of SUVs, big-screen TVs, and two-fridge families
- the 'burbs. And if it can gain acceptance there, some analysts say, the
technology is on the cusp of widespread acceptance.
"Even suburbia is starting to go solar," says Richard Perez, publisher of Home
Power magazine, the bible of the home-renewable energy crowd. "Some new houses
and subdivisions are being planned this way. It's not really common yet, but its
happening."
Prodded by fears of global warming, lured by falling solar-cell prices and
strong financial incentives, at least 10,000 US and 70,000 Japanese homeowners,
along with tens of thousands more in Europe, installed solar energy between 2000
and 2002, say industry experts. Total global solar-generating capacity -
including off-grid installations - is several gigawatts, Perez says.
But by far the fastest-growing solar group is residents who also are connected
to local power grids, a segment that has gone from almost nothing in 1990 to an
installed base of at least 730 megawatts in 2002 - about the size of a
medium-size coal-fired power plant.
Of course, there are plenty of skeptics. Solar power has been one of the
longest-running jokes in the energy industry - perpetually "just 10 years away"
from becoming a significant source to a power-hungry America since the 1970s.
Solar power supplies less than 1 percent of the US power needs.
A recent "road map" report by the US Photovoltaics Industry envisions solar as
providing a "significant share" of the US energy market by 2020, and by 2030
meeting 10 percent of US peak energy demand, equivalent to about 180 million
barrels of oil in that year. To reach that vision, millions of homeowners and
businesses would have to go solar - which means solar power will have to become
more affordable.
Though still expensive compared to commercial power, solar costs have fallen
about 90 percent since the '70s. When today's $4.50-per-watt cost for solar
reaches the "magic number" of $2 per watt, it will be cheaper than commercial
power, Mr. Perez predicts. At that point, demand could skyrocket, he says.
But if solar power is to become standard on new homes, it will be due as much to
its emerging compatibility with middle-class lifestyles as its lower price tag.
And it appears to be happening, many say.
Not so very long ago "going solar" meant being willing to adopt a
rough-and-ready "off the grid" lifestyle usually somewhere in the back woods far
from utility lines, Perez says. Besides costing lots of money to install a
system, it conjured dreaded images of energy frugality - winter nights reading
beneath a bare bulb powered by batteries.
But Massachusetts and other states are paving the way for homeowners to do their
part for the environment - without giving up their big-screen TVs. Spurred by
energy deregulation, 38 states have enacted "net metering" laws over the past
five years that require utilities to hook residential solar panels into the grid
- and to compensate them for their energy output. Residents pay only for what
they take from the grid - over and above what their solar panels produce.
"Most of our grid-tied customers today are average consumers - people with
multiple TVs, pools, even luxury homes. They are not trying to live an
alternative lifestyle in a cabin," says Sam Nutter of the Massachusetts
Technology Collaborative. It runs an alternative-fuels program.
In essence, by producing their own solar power - but also staying hooked to the
grid - homeowners can have their solar cake and eat it too. They can slash their
use of commercial power from fossil-fuel plants, but still be able to run their
power-hungry amenities like electric dryers and air conditioners.
In addition, at least 15 states now use "public benefits funds" to subsidize
renewable energy programs by taking a few pennies from each electric bill. And
24 states offer rebate programs that cover a big chunk of the cost. California
and Massachusetts rebate up to half the cost, not including tax incentives. New
Jersey and New York rebate up to 70 percent.
Gail Stocks's husband, Ian, says his family's 2.5 kilowatt solar-panel system
cost $21,000, including installation. But their out-of-pocket cost was only
$9,000. It cuts their electric bill by a third. With commercial power costing
him about 13 cents a kilowatt hour and rising, Mr. Stocks figures to be paid
back in about 10 years.
Joanne and Stephen Hallisey, who live in Natick, Mass., just finished installing
solar panels that cost $18,000 - but got rebates from the state that cover half
the cost. They've put in energy-saving light bulbs and appliances, but draw the
line on chopping their technology.
"We do have a lot of electronics around the house, and we don't want to give up
a lot of that," Ms. Hallisey says. "We don't have a big-screen TV yet. We feel
we are being less wasteful and, with solar, still have the renewable energy we
need to power the things that we really want."
The Halliseys and thousands like them are adding to the nearly 40 megawatts of
grid-tied residential/commercial solar power installed in the US since 2000,
more than was installed over the past decade, says industry analyst Paul Maycock.
With solar panels being sold in many Home Depot stores and the cost of solar
dropping, can the rest of America be far behind the Halliseys?
Well, yes, actually. Even boosters warn solar has only just begun to enter the
mainstream. "It hasn't become so mainstream that people are just itching to jump
on the bandwagon," says John Livermore of Conservation Services Group, a
Westborough, Mass., solar installation company. He's trying to convince
Massachusetts builders to put panels on new homes.
But it's difficult - especially in areas where home prices are already through
the roof - to persuade buyers to shell out even a few thousand extra dollars to
put a solar array on their roof.
In some states, however, solar is a no-brainer. Energized by turmoil in the
electricity markets, rolling blackouts, and a new governor who favors solar -
California has some of the best incentives in the US. It also has a lot of sun.
The result is that builders like John Suppes are creating entire solar-powered
subdivisions.
As vice president and cofounder of Clarum Homes, Mr. Suppes faces many of the
same issues Massachusetts builders do - steep real estate prices and intense
competition. So he can't just pass the cost of solar on to customers. The
installment costs about $20,000 for each of his new "zero energy" homes, which
cut utility bills up to 90 percent. "Our goal is to bring green to entry-level
home buyers," he says.
So Suppes has decided that putting people in solar homes is something he wants
to do - even if a chunk of the cost comes out of his profits. He also thinks his
homes will gain a competitive edge as utility rates rise.
"It's true we don't recoup the full $20,000 cost of solar and other
energy-saving features," he says. "We're looking at it more from an ethical and
environmental standpoint and because, in the long run, we feel this is the way
home-building is headed."
Margaret and Rick Ellis live in Clarum's 20-home Cherry Blossom development near
Watsonville, Calif. Every home has solar panels and an inverter that turns
currents from solar cells into currents suitable to be fed into the power grid.
"We actually were not even aware there was solar on the roof until we were
already in love with the house," says Ms. Ellis.
Even so, Ms. Ellis says living in a grid-connected, partially solar-powered
house has made her appreciate not just significantly lower electric bills, but
the impact on the environment. "I don't think most people who bought these homes
made this a moral decision," she says. "But it's become important to us."
By Mark Clayton
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